AUD/USD has slipped into a vulnerable position. After weeks of hovering around the 200-day moving average, the pair finally closed below it on Friday and is now trading under 0.6450.
The key level to watch is 0.6417.
This has been a strong support line since July. If it breaks, the door opens toward 0.6280 and potentially deeper into the April lows.
AUD/USD - Daily Chart
Why this matters:
• Strong US data continues to support the dollar.
• The RBA is unlikely to tighten further.
• Risk sentiment remains soft, which usually hurts AUD.
• Wednesday’s CPI print will decide whether AUD finds support or keeps sliding.
Who benefits:
Anyone holding USD.
Athletes earning in the US, agents receiving commissions and families planning USD to AUD transfers all gain when AUD falls.
This is the moment where technical levels give your triggers.
If 0.6417 breaks, the trend could accelerate into December.
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